Lula's Lead Narrows as Brazil Election Nears, Poll Shows

In early September 2026, a Quaest poll in Brazil showed President Lula's lead over rival Flávio Bolsonaro shrinking from 8 points to just 1 point in a potential runoff, while Lula would still defeat other opponents. The poll also found Flávio Bolsonaro, Lula, and Pablo Marçal leading in voter rejection for the presidency. Separately, pressure mounted on Lula to comment on Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes, who faces impeachment requests and an internal dispute with fellow Justice Mendonça over federal police leadership.