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Deliberately a broad slice: insurgency, the AU mission, the election crisis and piracy are one story about state capacity, not four separate ones.
Each card below is one coalition with its own frame on the same contested phenomenon.
Weekly attributed-headline count per narrative. Visual asymmetry is signal: some coalitions dominate the vocabulary, others stay sporadic.
Loaded vocabulary per coalition and recent headlines under each frame.
Per-week distribution of events on this friction node. Click a bar to see that week's top events.
Click a week bar to select. Light blue = active week.
Countries directly involved in these tensions, or whose own outlets cover them.
The federal government is steadily recovering ground and capacity: offensives are pushing al-Shabaab out of districts, offshore energy exploration and Turkish training are building genuine state institutions, and neighbours increasingly treat Mogadishu as a partner rather than a problem.
The recovery is thinner than claimed: famine is returning as aid funding collapses, the capital saw armed clashes over a delayed election, piracy has resumed off the coast, and the counter-terror campaign is inflicting civilian casualties with little accountability.
Somalia's insecurity is being deepened from outside: American airstrikes kill civilians while Washington blocks UN support for the African Union mission, and an Israeli military foothold on the coast would turn Somali waters into another front in someone else's war.
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